Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Twins LAD @ MIN

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

51-29  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

38-43  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Andrew Morris

#78 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 2.18 -- 1.0 2
Andrew Morris None-None 4.29 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.18 Ldr ERA 4.29
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
59%
📊
TWINS
41%
DODGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.9
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

41.1%

Twins Cover

58.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN +0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.1%

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.8
LOS ANGELES
3.9
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim Twins Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.9
C
Sim Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.7
B
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 24, 2026 LAD @ MIN 4 - 3
Jun 23, 2026 LAD @ MIN 12 - 3
Jun 22, 2026 LAD @ MIN 2 - 1
Jul 23, 2025 MIN @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 22, 2025 MIN @ LAD 10 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.720
204 ▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +17.8% more
Los Angeles: 10.6 vs Minnesota: 8.7
Home Runs (Season) +8.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Minnesota: 187.0
Runs per Game (Season) +7.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Minnesota: 4.6
OPS (Season) +4.2%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Minnesota: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.8 4
MIN Score 3.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.7 / 10.6 8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.1 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 6.9 11.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 14.9 / 16.1 9.0 / 15.0
Walks 5.0 / 3.3 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAD
MIN
LAD
ML
52% 84-78
56% 92-73
50% 80-81
48% 79-87
ATS
59% 95-67
59% 98-67
59% 95-66
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 78-75-9
48% 77-82-6
53% 80-72-9
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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