Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Twins LAD @ MIN

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

50-29  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Jun 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

38-42  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Andrew Morris

#78 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 2.25 -- 1.0 --
Andrew Morris None-None 4.41 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.25 Ldr ERA 4.41
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
47%
📊
TWINS
53%
DODGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 44%
Under 0 56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Minnesota)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

46.0%

Twins Cover

54.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

LAD By 1-2 runs

17.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

12.4%

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.0%

MIN By 3-4 runs

14.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.5
LOS ANGELES
4.9
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
A
Sim Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
C
Sim u10.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 24, 2026 LAD @ MIN 4 - 3
Jun 23, 2026 LAD @ MIN 12 - 3
Jun 22, 2026 LAD @ MIN 2 - 1
Jul 23, 2025 MIN @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 22, 2025 MIN @ LAD 10 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.720
204 ▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +96.8% more
Minnesota: 20.0 vs Los Angeles: 10.2
Hits (L5) +94.1% more
Minnesota: 12.9 vs Los Angeles: 6.6
Home Runs (L5) +58.0% more
Minnesota: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.8
Errors (L5) +44.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.5 2
MIN Score 4.9 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 12.9 / 6.6 3.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 9.2 8.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 20.0 / 10.2 6.0 / 16.0
Walks 4.5 / 4.0 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAD
MIN
LAD
ML
52% 84-78
56% 92-73
50% 80-81
48% 79-87
ATS
59% 95-67
59% 98-67
59% 95-66
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 78-75-9
48% 77-82-6
53% 80-72-9
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 4 hours, 37 minutes ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 4 hours, 45 minutes ago
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 4 hours, 48 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 4 hours, 55 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 4 hours, 56 minutes ago