Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Colorado @ Georgia Tech COLO @ GT

COLORADO

COLORADOCOLO

1-0  |  Road

14
FINAL
Thu, Sep 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Bobby Dodd Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

0-1  |  Home

13
Key Game
Damon Greaves
KEY GAME

Damon Greaves

#35 | Punter
@
Alex Bacchetta
KEY GAME

Alex Bacchetta

#47 | Punter
Player
Damon Greaves None-None
Alex Bacchetta None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLORADO
17%
📊
GEORGIA TECH
83%
▲ Edge: +12.50% (GT)
COLORADO 33% Book Odds: +202
GEORGIA TECH 70% Book Odds: -235
Book Implied: 33.10% / 70.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.5
Projected
Book Total
52.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 52.0 59%
Under 52.0 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.5
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
-6.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Georgia Tech)
ColoradoCOLO (+6.5) 0 Georgia TechGT (-6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-6.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colorado Cover

11.9%

Georgia Tech Cover

88.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GT -16.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

COLO By 1-6 points

6.2%

COLO By 7-13 points

3.4%

GT By 1-6 points

11.1%

GT By 7-13 points

17.8%

AI Model Projected Score
19.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 22.80
36
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 29.20
Simulated Score
16
COLORADO
Book Implied: 22.80
38
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 29.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech Loss
83% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Tech Loss
99% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia Tech (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.5
B
Sim Georgia Tech (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o52.0 Loss
Proj Total: 55.5
C
Sim o52.0 Loss
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 3, 2026 COLO @ GT 14 - 13
Aug 29, 2025 GT @ COLO 27 - 20
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +31.8% more
Georgia Tech: 21.4 vs Colorado: 16.2
Total Yards (L5) +29.6% more
Georgia Tech: 405.8 vs Colorado: 313.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.5% more
Georgia Tech: 141.3 vs Colorado: 121.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 19.5 14
GT Score 36.0 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.4 / 16.2 17.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 141.3 / 121.3 51.0 / 183.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.41
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 405.8 / 313.1 288.0 / 307.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +211 / -261 → +202 / -235 ↓
10%TICKETS90%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +7 / -7 → +6.5 / -6.5 ↓
36%TICKETS64%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: 51 → 52 ↑
41%TICKETS59%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -7.1
GT
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -7.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO Advantage
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -7.1
GT
1-6-0 (14.3%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -7.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: -2.5
GT
5-2-0
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
COLO
GT
COLO
ML
29% 2-5
86% 6-1
43% 3-4
86% 6-1
ATS
29% 2-5
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
71% 5-2
TTL
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
86% 6-1
14% 1-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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