Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Hampton @ Maryland HAMP @ MD

HAMPTON

HAMPTONHAMP

1-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 8:00 PM ET
SECU Stadium
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND

MARYLANDMD

1-0  |  Home

62
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Chris Jackson II

#90 | Defensive Lineman
@
Bryce McFerson
KEY GAME

Bryce McFerson

#34 | Punter
Player
Chris Jackson II None-None
Bryce McFerson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HAMPTON
29%
📊
MARYLAND
71%
HAMPTON --
MARYLAND --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
55.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +8.5 (Under)
Over 55.5 34%
Under 55.5 66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.6
HAMPTON
Book Spread
+45.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.9 points (Hampton)
HamptonHAMP (+45.5) 0 MarylandMD (-45.5)
Hampton Pirates (+45.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hampton Cover

75.4%

Maryland Cover

24.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HAMP +9.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

HAMP By 1-6 points

11.0%

HAMP By 7-13 points

7.6%

MD By 1-6 points

15.5%

MD By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
18.7
HAMPTON
Book Implied: 5
28.3
MARYLAND
Book Implied: 50.50
Simulated Score
19
HAMPTON
Book Implied: 5
28
MARYLAND
Book Implied: 50.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Maryland Win
71% Win Prob
D
Sim Maryland Win
81% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Hampton (+45.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +9.6
B
Sim Hampton (+45.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +9.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Sim u55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 HAMP @ MD 0 - 62
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 18.7 0
MD Score 28.3 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.4 / 0.0 31.0 / 6.0
Rushing Yards 95.3 / 0.0 365.0 / 10.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.0 0.57 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.0 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 402.1 / 0.0 646.0 / 85.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 0.0 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +45.5 / -45.5 → +45.5 / -45.5
99%TICKETS1%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: 55.5 → 55.5
76%TICKETS24%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
--
MD Advantage
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
--
MD Advantage
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
--
MD
6-1-0
O: 85.7% / U: 14.3% Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
HAMP
MD
HAMP
ML
57% 4-3
100% 1-0
57% 4-3
100% 1-0
ATS
29% 2-5
0% 0-1
29% 2-5
0% 0-1
TTL
57% 4-3
0% 0-1
57% 4-3
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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