Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kent State @ South Carolina KENT @ SC

KENT STATE

KENT STATEKENT

0-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 12:45 PM ET
Williams-Brice Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

1-0  |  Home

57
Key Game
Jake Stoeckel
KEY GAME

Jake Stoeckel

#97 | Punter
@
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
Player
Jake Stoeckel None-None
Mason Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENT STATE
11%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
89%
KENT STATE --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.4
Projected
Book Total
53.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +4.1 (Under)
Over 53.5 42%
Under 53.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+22.6
KENT STATE
Book Spread
+36.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.9 points (Kent State)
Kent StateKENT (+36.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (-36.5)
Kent State Golden Flashes (+36.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kent State Cover

94.7%

South Carolina Cover

5.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KENT +22.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

KENT By 1-6 points

3.1%

KENT By 7-13 points

1.4%

SC By 1-6 points

6.8%

SC By 7-13 points

13.3%

AI Model Projected Score
13.4
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 8.50
36
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 45
Simulated Score
13
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 8.50
36
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 45
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI South Carolina Win
89% Win Prob
B
Sim South Carolina Win
99% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kent State (+36.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +22.6
B
Sim Kent State (+36.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +23.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 49.4
C
Sim u53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 49.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 KENT @ SC 0 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +65.4% more
South Carolina: 2.1 vs Kent State: 1.3
Total Yards (L5) +19.2% more
South Carolina: 410.0 vs Kent State: 344.1
First Downs (L5) +9.0% more
South Carolina: 18.4 vs Kent State: 16.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +11.7% more
Kent State: 132.9 vs South Carolina: 117.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 13.4 0
SC Score 36.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.4 / 16.9 35.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 117.3 / 132.9 278.0 / 100.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.88 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 410.0 / 344.1 645.0 / 179.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 1.3 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
4%TICKETS96%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +36.5 / -36.5 → +36.5 / -36.5
96%TICKETS4%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: 53.5 → 53.5
28%TICKETS72%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
SC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -5.5
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
KENT
SC
KENT
ML
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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