MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Road
2
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
94-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 3.71 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 1.48 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.71
ERA
Ldr 1.48
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
BRAVES
40%
BREWERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
ATL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
7
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Braves (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
ATL @ MIL
4 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 2
Jun 21, 2026
MIL @ ATL
9 - 4
Jun 20, 2026
MIL @ ATL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.743
OPS
▲
.757
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+37.5% more
Milwaukee: 10.5
vs
Atlanta: 6.6
Home Runs (L5)
+31.6% more
Milwaukee: 1.4
vs
Atlanta: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+23.3% more
Milwaukee: 4.6
vs
Atlanta: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
7.0
2
ATL Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 7.9
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 10.5
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.2 / 13.9
11.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.5 / 4.6
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIL
ATL
MIL
ML
46%
77-90
62%
101-61
54%
90-78
52%
84-78
ATS
57%
96-71
58%
94-68
52%
87-81
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
83-73-11
40%
62-92-8
49%
76-80-11
50%
77-77-8
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