RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
14-20 | Road
69
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
16-18 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
60%
BLUEJAYS
40%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RUTG -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
RUTG By 1-7 points
10.7%
RUTG By 8-14 points
21.6%
CREI By 1-7 points
2.7%
CREI By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
84
RUTGERS
Creighton
66
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Rutgers
RUTGERS
Creighton
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Knights (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
RUTG @ CREI
69 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.6% more
Rutgers: 3.9
vs
Creighton: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Rutgers: 35.9%
vs
Creighton: 31.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Rutgers: 42.6%
vs
Creighton: 39.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+26.5% more
Creighton: 36.5
vs
Rutgers: 28.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
84.0
69
CREI Score
66.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 35.9
29.0 / 14.0
Assists
14.8 / 16.1
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.9
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 42.6
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
81.8 / 81.0
83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 28.9
40.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.1
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 9.9
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
RUTG
CREI
RUTG
ML
52%
17-16
53%
18-16
70%
21-9
70%
23-10
ATS
58%
19-14
68%
23-11
70%
21-9
70%
23-10
TTL
52%
17-16
53%
18-16
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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