Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bruins @ Huskies UCLA @ CONN

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

24-12  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 5:10 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

34-6  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
50%
📊
HUSKIES
50%
BRUINS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UCLA)
BruinsUCLA (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

69.1%

Huskies Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCLA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

UCLA By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

CONN By 1-7 points

18.6%

CONN By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
87
UCLA
82
UCONN
Simulated Score
UCLA
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 UCLA @ CONN 57 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.0% more
UCLA: 9.7 vs UConn: 6.3
Blocks (L5) +30.3% more
UCLA: 4.3 vs UConn: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.5%
UCLA: 35.9% vs UConn: 24.4%
Turnovers (L5) +60.1% more
UConn: 12.0 vs UCLA: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score 87.0 57
CONN Score 82.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.4 / 35.9 33.0 / 38.0
Assists 18.2 / 16.1 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.3 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 45.2 47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.9 / 76.3 90.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 33.9 36.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.3 / 9.7 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 7.5 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA Advantage
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
UCLA
CONN
UCLA
ML
76% 29-9
67% 24-12
66% 23-12
76% 25-8
ATS
74% 28-10
61% 22-14
66% 23-12
76% 25-8
TTL
50% 19-19
61% 22-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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