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MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

20-13  |  Road

66
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 6:07 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

26-9  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
40%
📊
HURRICANES
60%
TIGERS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Miami)
TigersMIZ (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

46.0%

Hurricanes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

MIZ By 1-7 points

24.3%

MIZ By 8-14 points

13.7%

MIA By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
77
MISSOURI
78
MIAMI
Simulated Score
MISSOURI
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 MIZ @ MIA 66 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +40.7% more
Miami: 4.0 vs Missouri: 2.9
Steals (L5) +15.0% more
Miami: 7.3 vs Missouri: 6.3
Assists (L5) +12.2% more
Miami: 12.4 vs Missouri: 11.1
Free Throw % (L5) +9.4%
Miami: 77.8% vs Missouri: 68.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score 77.0 66
MIA Score 78.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 34.7 46.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.4 / 11.1 19.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.9 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 47.8 43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 68.4 59.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 33.0 46.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.3 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 13.4 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
MIZ
MIA
MIZ
ML
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
ATS
63% 22-13
70% 23-10
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
TTL
63% 22-13
79% 26-7
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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