Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Jayhawks CBU @ KU

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

25-9  |  Road

60
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 6:07 PM ET
Viejas Arena
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

24-11  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
65%
📊
JAYHAWKS
35%
LANCERS --
JAYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (California Baptist)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 JayhawksKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

94.5%

Jayhawks Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)

CBU By 1-7 points

13.7%

CBU By 8-14 points

24.3%

KU By 1-7 points

4.0%

KU By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
58
KANSAS
Simulated Score
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lancers (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 CBU @ KU 60 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.8% more
California Baptist: 12.3 vs Kansas: 10.4
Steals (L5) +11.2% more
California Baptist: 6.3 vs Kansas: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
California Baptist: 40.8% vs Kansas: 31.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
California Baptist: 45.2% vs Kansas: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 74.0 60
KU Score 58.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 40.8 21.0 / 24.0
Assists 11.4 / 10.0 8.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 36.4 / 45.2 40.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 78.7 86.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 36.6 41.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.3 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.3 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
KU
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
KU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
CBU
KU
CBU
ML
57% 20-15
50% 17-17
68% 21-10
76% 25-8
ATS
49% 17-18
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
76% 25-8
TTL
60% 21-14
47% 16-18
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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