Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Bulldogs SLU @ UGA

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

29-6  |  Road

102
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 6:10 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

22-11  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
50%
📊
BULLDOGS
50%
BILLIKENS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 30%
Under 0 70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Saint Louis)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

86.4%

Bulldogs Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SLU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

SLU By 1-7 points

21.6%

SLU By 8-14 points

27.4%

UGA By 1-7 points

9.3%

UGA By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
90
SAINT LOUIS
79
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
SAINT LOUIS
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Billikens (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o167.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 SLU @ UGA 102 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.3% more
Saint Louis: 13.5 vs Georgia: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +4.0%
Saint Louis: 80.1% vs Georgia: 76.1%
Steals (L5) +61.1% more
Georgia: 8.9 vs Saint Louis: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Georgia: 40.0% vs Saint Louis: 35.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 90.0 102
UGA Score 79.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.0 / 35.6 26.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.6 / 15.5 9.0 / 27.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.9 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 46.1 35.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 80.1 65.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 33.2 36.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.9 / 5.5 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.5 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
UGA
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
UGA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
SLU
UGA
SLU
ML
67% 22-11
70% 23-10
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 20-13
73% 24-9
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
TTL
64% 21-12
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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