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UIC

FLAMESUIC

19-16  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Mar 18 • 7:05 PM ET
Haas Pavilion
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

22-12  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
55%
📊
GOLDEN BEARS
45%
FLAMES --
GOLDEN BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesUIC (-3.5) 0 Golden BearsCAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

38.2%

Golden Bears Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAL +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

UIC By 1-7 points

27.2%

UIC By 8-14 points

20.1%

CAL By 1-7 points

21.6%

CAL By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UIC
70
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
UIC
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Bears (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 UIC @ CAL 73 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.6% more
UIC: 6.0 vs California: 5.1
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
UIC: 13.9 vs California: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
UIC: 79.4% vs California: 73.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
UIC: 46.9% vs California: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIC Score 73.0 73
CAL Score 70.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 30.3 54.0 / 27.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.9 21.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.8 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 46.9 56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 79.4 100.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 33.3 28.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.0 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 9.4 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
CAL Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
UIC
CAL
UIC
ML
61% 20-13
57% 20-15
77% 24-7
44% 15-19
ATS
64% 21-12
54% 19-16
78% 25-7
44% 15-19
TTL
70% 23-10
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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