KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
24-11 | Road
47
HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
30-7 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
50%
COUGARS
50%
JAYHAWKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
KU By 1-7 points
27.4%
KU By 8-14 points
21.6%
HOU By 1-7 points
20.1%
HOU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
82
KANSAS
Houston
78
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Kansas
KANSAS
Houston
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KU @ HOU
47 - 69
Feb 23, 2026
HOU @ KU
56 - 69
Mar 3, 2025
KU @ HOU
59 - 65
Jan 25, 2025
HOU @ KU
92 - 86
Mar 9, 2024
KU @ HOU
46 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.4% more
Kansas: 41.5
vs
Houston: 34.7
Blocks (L5)
+16.3% more
Kansas: 5.0
vs
Houston: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+29.0% more
Houston: 8.9
vs
Kansas: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Houston: 36.1%
vs
Kansas: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
82.0
47
HOU Score
78.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 31.5
56.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.2 / 13.1
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 42.2
42.0 / 25.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 76.0
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 41.5
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.9
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.7
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
HOU
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
KU
HOU
KU
ML
70%
26-11
57%
20-15
68%
23-11
68%
21-10
ATS
70%
26-11
49%
17-18
68%
23-11
68%
21-10
TTL
59%
22-15
60%
21-14
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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