CLEMSON
TIGERSCLEM
24-11 | Road
61
DUKE
BLUE DEVILSDUKE
35-3 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
27%
BLUE DEVILS
73%
TIGERS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUKE +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
CLEM By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLEM By 8-14 points
16.9%
DUKE By 1-7 points
24.3%
DUKE By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Clemson
72
CLEMSON
Duke
71
DUKE
Simulated Score
Clemson
CLEMSON
Duke
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
27% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
CLEM @ DUKE
61 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
CLEM @ DUKE
54 - 67
Feb 8, 2025
DUKE @ CLEM
71 - 77
Jan 27, 2024
CLEM @ DUKE
71 - 72
Jan 14, 2023
DUKE @ CLEM
64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.4%
Clemson: 70.7%
vs
Duke: 66.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Clemson: 38.1%
vs
Duke: 34.8%
Assists (L5)
+45.3% more
Duke: 17.4
vs
Clemson: 11.9
Turnovers (L5)
+42.1% more
Duke: 10.4
vs
Clemson: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score
72.0
61
DUKE Score
71.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 38.1
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
17.4 / 11.9
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.7
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 45.2
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 70.7
82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 32.2
41.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.7
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 7.3
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
DUKE
Advantage
35-3-0
(92.1%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
DUKE
Advantage
20-18-0
(52.6%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -2.1
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
CLEM
DUKE
CLEM
ML
71%
27-11
63%
22-13
73%
24-9
72%
23-9
ATS
79%
30-8
71%
25-10
73%
24-9
72%
23-9
TTL
47%
18-20
69%
24-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
Duke's Cameron Crazies Crowned Top Student Section for 2026-27
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…