PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
18-15 | Road
68
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
26-9 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
27%
BRONCOS
73%
TIGERS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Santa Clara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)
PAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
PAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
SCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
SCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
76
PACIFIC
Santa Clara
77
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Pacific
PACIFIC
Santa Clara
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Broncos
Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Broncos (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
PAC @ SCU
68 - 76
Feb 4, 2026
SCU @ PAC
71 - 56
Jan 14, 2026
PAC @ SCU
69 - 85
Mar 1, 2025
SCU @ PAC
97 - 66
Feb 1, 2025
PAC @ SCU
49 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+85.4% more
Santa Clara: 8.6
vs
Pacific: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Santa Clara: 2.4
vs
Pacific: 1.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.7%
Santa Clara: 83.4%
vs
Pacific: 67.7%
Assists (L5)
+8.1% more
Santa Clara: 15.9
vs
Pacific: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
76.0
68
SCU Score
77.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 33.0
42.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.7
21.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.4 / 1.9
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 41.9
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
83.4 / 67.7
70.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 38.8
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.6 / 4.7
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 12.4
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
SCU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
PAC
SCU
PAC
ML
44%
15-19
45%
15-18
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
ATS
53%
18-16
55%
18-15
74%
23-8
80%
24-6
TTL
47%
16-18
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6