PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
15-18 | Road
91
RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
16-16 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
36%
HIGHLANDERS
64%
BLUE HOSE
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Presbyterian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRES -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
PRES By 1-7 points
26.8%
PRES By 8-14 points
18.6%
RAD By 1-7 points
23.0%
RAD By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
69
PRESBYTERIAN
Radford
67
RADFORD
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
PRESBYTERIAN
Radford
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hose
Win
36% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hose (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
PRES @ RAD
91 - 85
Jan 31, 2026
RAD @ PRES
93 - 84
Jan 7, 2026
PRES @ RAD
61 - 80
Mar 7, 2025
PRES @ RAD
69 - 74
Feb 22, 2025
PRES @ RAD
80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.9% more
Presbyterian: 5.9
vs
Radford: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Presbyterian: 71.9%
vs
Radford: 66.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Presbyterian: 46.3%
vs
Radford: 44.0%
Steals (L5)
+30.8% more
Radford: 7.1
vs
Presbyterian: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
69.0
91
RAD Score
67.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 26.2
24.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.1 / 9.5
9.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.9
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 46.3
39.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 71.9
61.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 35.6
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.5
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 12.0
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
RAD
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
PRES
RAD
PRES
ML
77%
23-7
69%
22-10
76%
22-7
80%
24-6
ATS
63%
19-11
59%
19-13
77%
23-7
80%
24-6
TTL
67%
20-10
59%
19-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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