Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rattlers @ Tigers FAMU @ GRAM

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

15-16  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 12:55 PM ET
Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

14-19  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
50%
📊
TIGERS
50%
RATTLERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Grambling)
RattlersFAMU (-3.5) 0 TigersGRAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rattlers Cover

3.6%

Tigers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GRAM -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)

FAMU By 1-7 points

2.7%

FAMU By 8-14 points

0.5%

GRAM By 1-7 points

10.7%

GRAM By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
FLORIDA A&M
80
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
FLORIDA A&M
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.0 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 FAMU @ GRAM 66 - 59
Jan 12, 2026 GRAM @ FAMU 84 - 91
Mar 1, 2025 GRAM @ FAMU 68 - 73
Jan 13, 2025 FAMU @ GRAM 72 - 79
Mar 2, 2024 FAMU @ GRAM 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +64.1% more
Grambling: 9.1 vs Florida A&M: 5.6
Blocks (L5) +33.2% more
Grambling: 3.7 vs Florida A&M: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +26.1% more
Grambling: 16.2 vs Florida A&M: 12.9
Assists (L5) +11.1% more
Florida A&M: 15.3 vs Grambling: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score 62.0 66
GRAM Score 80.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 33.7 35.0 / 20.0
Assists 13.6 / 15.3 8.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.8 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 45.9 33.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 70.9 85.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 38.2 32.0 / 40.0
Steals 9.1 / 5.6 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 12.9 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
FAMU
GRAM
FAMU
ML
68% 21-10
55% 16-13
68% 17-8
71% 17-7
ATS
61% 19-12
48% 14-15
68% 17-8
71% 17-7
TTL
58% 18-13
76% 22-7
100% 25-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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