Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Delta Devils TXSO @ MVSU

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

12-18  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 2:30 PM ET
R.W. Harrison HPER Complex
View Odds Details →

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

3-30  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
86%
📊
DELTA DEVILS
14%
TIGERS --
DELTA DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Mississippi Valley State)
TigersTXSO (-3.5) 0 Delta DevilsMVSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

8.1%

Delta Devils Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MVSU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MVSU)

TXSO By 1-7 points

5.8%

TXSO By 8-14 points

1.4%

MVSU By 1-7 points

16.9%

MVSU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
TEXAS SOUTHERN
83
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
TEXAS SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Delta Devils Win
14% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Delta Devils (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 TXSO @ MVSU 71 - 72
Jan 12, 2026 MVSU @ TXSO 51 - 84
Feb 22, 2025 MVSU @ TXSO 38 - 79
Jan 13, 2025 TXSO @ MVSU 82 - 53
Feb 24, 2024 TXSO @ MVSU 73 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.6% more
Texas Southern: 2.5 vs Mississippi Valley State: 1.8
Assists (L5) +25.9% more
Texas Southern: 13.2 vs Mississippi Valley State: 9.7
Rebounding (L5) +20.9% more
Texas Southern: 35.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 28.4
Steals (L5) +17.2% more
Texas Southern: 8.6 vs Mississippi Valley State: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score 69.0 71
MVSU Score 83.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 37.0 28.0 / 29.0
Assists 9.7 / 13.2 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.5 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.3 / 48.8 47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 79.4 65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 35.9 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.6 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.0 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
TXSO
MVSU
TXSO
ML
91% 30-3
64% 18-10
75% 18-6
71% 17-7
ATS
82% 27-6
61% 17-11
75% 18-6
71% 17-7
TTL
58% 19-14
71% 20-8
100% 24-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago
Tigers Lock Up Broadcast Duo Dan Dickerson and Jason Benetti wit…
yahoo 2 weeks ago
Kansas vs. Missouri: Border War Revival Set for Friday Night Und…
si 4 weeks ago