Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Bisons UNA @ LIP

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

9-21  |  Road

51
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 12:30 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

19-13  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
30%
📊
BISONS
70%
LIONS --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Lipscomb)
LionsUNA (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

42.1%

Bisons Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

UNA By 1-7 points

23.0%

UNA By 8-14 points

12.2%

LIP By 1-7 points

26.8%

LIP By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
58
NORTH ALABAMA
60
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
NORTH ALABAMA
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bisons Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bisons (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 UNA @ LIP 51 - 73
Mar 9, 2025 UNA @ LIP 65 - 76
Feb 20, 2025 UNA @ LIP 63 - 75
Jan 23, 2025 LIP @ UNA 64 - 74
Mar 5, 2024 UNA @ LIP 77 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +79.3% more
Lipscomb: 17.8 vs North Alabama: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +18.9%
Lipscomb: 81.5% vs North Alabama: 62.6%
Steals (L5) +16.3% more
Lipscomb: 6.2 vs North Alabama: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +10.0% more
Lipscomb: 2.7 vs North Alabama: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNA Score 58.0 51
LIP Score 60.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 36.7 40.0 / 6.0
Assists 17.8 / 10.0 18.0 / 2.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.4 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 47.7 58.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 81.5 / 62.6 56.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 35.5 33.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.2 / 5.3 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 12.1 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
UNA
LIP
UNA
ML
71% 22-9
43% 13-17
66% 19-10
57% 16-12
ATS
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
66% 19-10
57% 16-12
TTL
58% 18-13
63% 19-11
100% 29-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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