Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Spartans PRES @ UPST

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

15-18  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 12:05 PM ET
G.B. Hodge Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE

SPARTANSUPST

13-19  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
65%
📊
SPARTANS
35%
BLUE HOSE --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Carolina Upstate)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 SpartansUPST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

27.4%

Spartans Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UPST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UPST)

PRES By 1-7 points

16.9%

PRES By 8-14 points

6.8%

UPST By 1-7 points

26.8%

UPST By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
PRESBYTERIAN
73
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
PRESBYTERIAN
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PRES @ UPST 74 - 76
Jan 3, 2026 UPST @ PRES 77 - 86
Feb 5, 2025 UPST @ PRES 64 - 75
Jan 8, 2025 PRES @ UPST 67 - 77
Feb 28, 2024 PRES @ UPST 72 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.4% more
South Carolina Upstate: 35.6 vs Presbyterian: 32.3
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
South Carolina Upstate: 68.7% vs Presbyterian: 64.3%
Assists (L5) +14.5% more
Presbyterian: 12.7 vs South Carolina Upstate: 10.8
Blocks (L5) +12.0% more
Presbyterian: 5.0 vs South Carolina Upstate: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 67.0 74
UPST Score 73.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.0 / 31.1 38.0 / 47.0
Assists 10.8 / 12.7 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.4 / 5.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 49.9 52.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 64.3 71.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 32.3 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.8 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 14.0 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
UPST
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
UPST
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
PRES
UPST
PRES
ML
61% 19-12
69% 22-10
83% 25-5
80% 24-6
ATS
61% 19-12
59% 19-13
83% 25-5
80% 24-6
TTL
52% 16-15
59% 19-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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