PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
19-18 | Road
72
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
DELTA DEVILSMVSU
3-30 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
67%
DELTA DEVILS
33%
PANTHERS
--
DELTA DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
PV By 1-7 points
15.3%
PV By 8-14 points
25.3%
MVSU By 1-7 points
4.8%
MVSU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
90
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Mississippi Valley State
75
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Mississippi Valley State
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
PV @ MVSU
72 - 62
Jan 10, 2026
MVSU @ PV
69 - 70
Feb 24, 2025
MVSU @ PV
56 - 64
Jan 11, 2025
PV @ MVSU
74 - 65
Feb 26, 2024
PV @ MVSU
51 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.6% more
Prairie View A&M: 6.4
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.5%
Prairie View A&M: 76.5%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 65.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Prairie View A&M: 43.1%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 40.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.4%
Mississippi Valley State: 37.5%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 24.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
90.0
72
MVSU Score
75.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 24.1
16.0 / 27.0
Assists
10.6 / 9.4
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.1 / 6.4
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 43.1
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
65.0 / 76.5
89.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
28.6 / 29.5
28.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.3
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.6
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
MVSU
3-30-0
(9.1%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
MVSU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
PV
MVSU
PV
ML
91%
30-3
59%
20-14
75%
18-6
68%
21-10
ATS
82%
27-6
56%
19-15
75%
18-6
68%
21-10
TTL
58%
19-14
50%
17-17
100%
24-0
100%
31-0
