GONZAGA
BULLDOGSGONZ
31-4 | Road
94
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
26-9 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
65%
BRONCOS
35%
BULLDOGS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Gonzaga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GONZ -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)
GONZ By 1-7 points
0.0%
GONZ By 8-14 points
0.1%
SCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Gonzaga
99
GONZAGA
Santa Clara
53
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Gonzaga
GONZAGA
Santa Clara
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
SCU @ GONZ
68 - 79
Feb 14, 2026
GONZ @ SCU
94 - 86
Jan 8, 2026
SCU @ GONZ
77 - 89
Feb 25, 2025
GONZ @ SCU
95 - 76
Jan 18, 2025
SCU @ GONZ
103 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.8% more
Gonzaga: 3.9
vs
Santa Clara: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Gonzaga: 8.6
vs
Santa Clara: 7.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Gonzaga: 51.0%
vs
Santa Clara: 48.5%
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Santa Clara: 10.5
vs
Gonzaga: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GONZ Score
99.0
94
SCU Score
53.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 28.0
38.0 / 17.0
Assists
16.7 / 16.5
14.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.9
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 51.0
46.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 76.8
81.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 34.8
32.0 / 41.0
Steals
10.5 / 9.1
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
7.7 / 8.6
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GONZ
Advantage
31-4-0
(88.6%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
SCU
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GONZ
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -5.0
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
GONZ
SCU
GONZ
ML
44%
15-19
71%
25-10
73%
22-8
69%
20-9
ATS
53%
18-16
69%
24-11
74%
23-8
69%
20-9
TTL
47%
16-18
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
Ryan Smith Vows Major Estate Gift to BYU, Calls College Sports '…