Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Delta Devils JKST @ MVSU

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

12-21  |  Road

97
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 1:25 PM ET
R.W. Harrison HPER Complex
View Odds Details →

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

3-30  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
55%
📊
DELTA DEVILS
45%
TIGERS --
DELTA DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Jackson State)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 Delta DevilsMVSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

100.0%

Delta Devils Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JKST -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)

JKST By 1-7 points

0.0%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.2%

MVSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
JACKSON STATE
54
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
JACKSON STATE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 MVSU @ JKST 77 - 85
Feb 7, 2026 JKST @ MVSU 97 - 81
Mar 8, 2025 JKST @ MVSU 66 - 62
Feb 8, 2025 MVSU @ JKST 44 - 92
Mar 9, 2024 MVSU @ JKST 67 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.4% more
Jackson State: 4.6 vs Mississippi Valley State: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +19.2% more
Jackson State: 37.0 vs Mississippi Valley State: 29.9
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
Jackson State: 77.0% vs Mississippi Valley State: 68.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Jackson State: 34.5% vs Mississippi Valley State: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 97.0 97
MVSU Score 54.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.4 / 34.5 37.0 / 34.0
Assists 12.2 / 10.6 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 40.3 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 77.0 67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 29.9 / 37.0 30.0 / 52.0
Steals 6.4 / 4.5 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 12.1 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
99%TICKETS1%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
JKST
MVSU
JKST
ML
91% 30-3
77% 24-7
75% 18-6
73% 19-7
ATS
82% 27-6
77% 24-7
75% 18-6
73% 19-7
TTL
58% 19-14
58% 18-13
100% 24-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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