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WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

12-20  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 6:15 PM ET
Gill Coliseum
View Odds Details →

OREGON STATE

BEAVERSORST

17-16  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
30%
📊
BEAVERS
70%
COUGARS --
BEAVERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
OREGON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CougarsWSU (-3.5) 0 BeaversORST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

46.0%

Beavers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORST +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORST)

WSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

WSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

ORST By 1-7 points

24.3%

ORST By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
60
WASHINGTON STATE
59
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON STATE
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Loss
30% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Beavers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 WSU @ ORST 64 - 74
Jan 4, 2026 ORST @ WSU 67 - 81
Feb 6, 2025 WSU @ ORST 74 - 82
Feb 8, 2024 WSU @ ORST 64 - 58
Jan 4, 2024 ORST @ WSU 58 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.7% more
Washington State: 19.4 vs Oregon State: 14.4
Field Goal % (L5) +12.7%
Washington State: 53.2% vs Oregon State: 40.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Washington State: 44.6% vs Oregon State: 32.8%
Blocks (L5) +19.9% more
Oregon State: 3.0 vs Washington State: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 60.0 64
ORST Score 59.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 44.6 24.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.4 / 19.4 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.5 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 53.2 39.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 74.2 74.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 34.8 44.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.1 4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 12.2 5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
ORST Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
ORST Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
WSU
ORST
WSU
ML
45% 15-18
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
69% 20-9
ATS
48% 16-17
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
69% 20-9
TTL
55% 18-15
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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