MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
DELTA DEVILSMVSU
3-30 | Road
69
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
19-18 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
25%
PANTHERS
75%
DELTA DEVILS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-70.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +70.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -70.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
MVSU By 1-7 points
0.0%
MVSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
PV By 1-7 points
0.0%
PV By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Mississippi Valley State
39
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Prairie View A&M
109
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
Mississippi Valley State
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Prairie View A&M
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-18.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -70.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
PV @ MVSU
72 - 62
Jan 10, 2026
MVSU @ PV
69 - 70
Feb 24, 2025
MVSU @ PV
56 - 64
Jan 11, 2025
PV @ MVSU
74 - 65
Feb 26, 2024
PV @ MVSU
51 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 5.0
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+32.1% more
Prairie View A&M: 32.8
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 24.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Prairie View A&M: 47.8%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 39.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Prairie View A&M: 37.3%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score
39.0
69
PV Score
109.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 29.2
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
10.6 / 11.9
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.4
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 39.1
41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 75.3
61.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 24.8
28.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 16.7
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0
(9.1%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.0
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
MVSU
PV
MVSU
ML
59%
20-14
91%
30-3
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
ATS
56%
19-15
82%
27-6
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
TTL
50%
17-17
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
24-0
