Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Utes BYU @ UTAH

BYU

COUGARSBYU

23-12  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 5:10 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

10-22  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
70%
📊
UTES
30%
COUGARS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 25%
Under 0 75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CougarsBYU (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

18.4%

Utes Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

BYU By 1-7 points

24.3%

BYU By 8-14 points

26.8%

UTAH By 1-7 points

12.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
BYU
65
UTAH
Simulated Score
BYU
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Win
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Utes (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u168.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 UTAH @ BYU 78 - 91
Jan 10, 2026 BYU @ UTAH 89 - 84
Mar 8, 2025 UTAH @ BYU 74 - 85
Jan 18, 2025 BYU @ UTAH 72 - 73
Dec 9, 2023 BYU @ UTAH 69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +61.3% more
BYU: 7.0 vs Utah: 2.7
Steals (L5) +34.8% more
BYU: 10.8 vs Utah: 7.0
Turnovers (L5) +30.5% more
BYU: 14.6 vs Utah: 10.2
Assists (L5) +30.2% more
BYU: 18.3 vs Utah: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BYU Score 74.0 89
UTAH Score 65.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 40.4 27.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.8 / 18.3 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.7 / 7.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 52.5 46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 74.0 / 76.5 86.0 / 66.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 41.1 33.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.0 / 10.8 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 14.6 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
BYU
UTAH
BYU
ML
56% 18-14
60% 21-14
67% 20-10
72% 23-9
ATS
56% 18-14
54% 19-16
67% 20-10
72% 23-9
TTL
41% 13-19
69% 24-11
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 57 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 5 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days ago