WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
24-12 | Road
100
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
17-17 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
50%
49ERS
50%
SHOCKERS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
WICH By 1-7 points
18.6%
WICH By 8-14 points
8.0%
CLT By 1-7 points
27.2%
CLT By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
83
WICHITA STATE
Charlotte
88
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Wichita State
WICHITA STATE
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
49ers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CLT @ WICH
64 - 74
Jan 3, 2026
WICH @ CLT
100 - 104
Feb 4, 2025
WICH @ CLT
66 - 58
Jan 14, 2025
CLT @ WICH
59 - 68
Feb 18, 2024
WICH @ CLT
61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.9% more
Charlotte: 6.4
vs
Wichita State: 4.9
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
Charlotte: 11.5
vs
Wichita State: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Charlotte: 81.9%
vs
Wichita State: 67.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.6% more
Wichita State: 40.5
vs
Charlotte: 34.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
83.0
100
CLT Score
88.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 39.7
38.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.1
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 46.1
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 67.4
76.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 40.5
35.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.9
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 9.8
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
WICH
CLT
WICH
ML
62%
21-13
61%
22-14
67%
22-11
68%
23-11
ATS
68%
23-11
64%
23-13
67%
22-11
68%
23-11
TTL
65%
22-12
69%
25-11
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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