Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Tigers PV @ GRAM

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

19-18  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 12:30 PM ET
Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

14-19  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
55%
📊
TIGERS
45%
PANTHERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
PanthersPV (-3.5) 0 TigersGRAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

81.6%

Tigers Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

PV By 1-7 points

24.3%

PV By 8-14 points

26.8%

GRAM By 1-7 points

12.2%

GRAM By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
67
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
58
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 GRAM @ PV 63 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 PV @ GRAM 72 - 76
Feb 17, 2025 PV @ GRAM 48 - 70
Jan 4, 2025 GRAM @ PV 55 - 73
Feb 19, 2024 GRAM @ PV 83 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +13.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 32.2 vs Grambling: 27.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
Prairie View A&M: 79.8% vs Grambling: 73.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Prairie View A&M: 35.5% vs Grambling: 33.1%
Turnovers (L5) +11.0% more
Grambling: 14.4 vs Prairie View A&M: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 67.0 72
GRAM Score 58.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 35.5 47.0 / 37.0
Assists 13.7 / 12.8 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.0 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 46.0 47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 79.8 66.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 27.9 / 32.2 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.4 / 8.5 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 13.0 20.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV Advantage
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
PV
GRAM
PV
ML
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
68% 17-8
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 19-12
56% 19-15
68% 17-8
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 18-13
50% 17-17
100% 25-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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