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ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

17-16  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 5:45 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

24-12  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
SUN DEVILS
45%
📊
BRUINS
55%
SUN DEVILS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
ARIZONA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Arizona State)
Sun DevilsASU (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sun Devils Cover

91.9%

Bruins Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ASU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ASU)

ASU By 1-7 points

16.9%

ASU By 8-14 points

26.2%

UCLA By 1-7 points

5.8%

UCLA By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
49
ARIZONA STATE
35
UCLA
Simulated Score
ARIZONA STATE
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sun Devils Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sun Devils (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 ASU @ UCLA 77 - 90
Mar 9, 2024 ASU @ UCLA 47 - 59
Jan 17, 2024 UCLA @ ASU 68 - 66
Mar 2, 2023 ASU @ UCLA 61 - 79
Jan 19, 2023 UCLA @ ASU 74 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.3% more
Arizona State: 13.1 vs UCLA: 9.9
Steals (L5) +18.9% more
Arizona State: 7.7 vs UCLA: 6.2
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Arizona State: 50.3% vs UCLA: 48.3%
Blocks (L5) +23.2% more
UCLA: 5.4 vs Arizona State: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ASU Score 49.0 77
UCLA Score 35.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.4 / 42.5 54.0 / 15.0
Assists 14.6 / 15.6 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.4 / 4.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 50.3 47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 72.8 82.0 / 96.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 33.4 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.7 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.1 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
UCLA
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
ASU
UCLA
ASU
ML
67% 24-12
52% 17-16
76% 25-8
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 22-14
52% 17-16
76% 25-8
68% 21-10
TTL
61% 22-14
64% 21-12
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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