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CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

18-15  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 10:10 AM ET
Bon Secours Wellness Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

24-11  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
50%
📊
TIGERS
50%
BEARCATS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Clemson)
BearcatsCIN (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

46.0%

Tigers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

CIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

CIN By 8-14 points

13.7%

CLEM By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLEM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
CINCINNATI
68
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
CINCINNATI
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 CIN @ CLEM 65 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.7%
Clemson: 72.7% vs Cincinnati: 63.0%
Steals (L5) +9.1% more
Clemson: 7.3 vs Cincinnati: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Clemson: 32.6% vs Cincinnati: 28.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Clemson: 44.8% vs Cincinnati: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 67.0 65
CLEM Score 68.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 28.4 50.0 / 40.0
Assists 11.8 / 19.7 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.0 / 5.3 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 42.3 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 63.0 71.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 41.7 27.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.7 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 11.3 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
CLEM Advantage
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
CIN
CLEM
CIN
ML
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
72% 23-9
74% 23-8
ATS
71% 25-10
64% 21-12
72% 23-9
74% 23-8
TTL
69% 24-11
67% 22-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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