MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
2-0-1 | Road
5
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-2-2 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 6.18 | 0.727 | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.18
GAA
--
0.727
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
50%
FLYERS
50%
WILD
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MIN By 1 goal
15.0%
MIN By 2-3 goals
13.6%
PHI By 1 goal
19.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
24.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.9
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
3.4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ MIN
3 - 2
Oct 18, 2025
MIN @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024
PHI @ MIN
1 - 4
Oct 26, 2024
MIN @ PHI
5 - 7
Jan 12, 2024
PHI @ MIN
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+14.9% more
Philadelphia: 27.5
vs
Minnesota: 24.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.5% more
Minnesota: 18.8
vs
Philadelphia: 14.2
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
Minnesota: 33.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.9
5
PHI Score
3.4
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 18.8
22.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
53.2 / 51.8
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
27.5 / 24.0
24.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
22.9 / 33.9
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 24.5
23.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIN
PHI
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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