Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Capitals BOS @ WSH

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

2-2-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Dec 31 • 12:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

2-1-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Logan Thompson
GOALTENDER

Logan Thompson

#48 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.06 0.923 --
Logan Thompson None-None 1.00 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.06 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.923 Save % Ldr 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
CAPITALS
100%
BRUINS --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

50.8%

Capitals Cover

49.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

17.6%

BOS By 2-3 goals

19.1%

WSH By 1 goal

17.3%

WSH By 2-3 goals

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.79
BOSTON
2.75
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
BOSTON
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 BOS @ WSH 3 - 2
Mar 7, 2026 WSH @ BOS 1 - 3
Oct 8, 2025 BOS @ WSH 3 - 1
Oct 2, 2025 BOS @ WSH 3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025 WSH @ BOS 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +33.7% more
Boston: 5.6 vs Washington: 3.7
Hits (L5) +17.8% more
Boston: 24.8 vs Washington: 20.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.2% more
Boston: 16.0 vs Washington: 13.6
Faceoff % (L5) +8.2%
Boston: 56.2% vs Washington: 48.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.8 1
WSH Score 2.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.6 / 16.0 28.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 48.0 / 56.2 47.6 / 52.4
Hits 20.4 / 24.8 26.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 39.0 / 8.7 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 24.9 / 26.1 27.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 3.7 / 5.6 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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