Home / NHL Projections NHL / Maple Leafs @ Bruins TOR @ BOS

TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

2-2-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

2-2-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Anthony Stolarz
GOALTENDER

Anthony Stolarz

#41 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Anthony Stolarz None-None 3.88 0.882 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.88 0.870 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.88 GAA Ldr 2.88
0.882 Ldr Save % 0.870
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
50%
📊
BRUINS
50%
MAPLE LEAFS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Boston)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

46.6%

Bruins Cover

53.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

TOR By 1 goal

16.7%

TOR By 2-3 goals

16.9%

BOS By 1 goal

18.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

20.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.49
TORONTO
2.66
BOSTON
Simulated Score
TORONTO
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 TOR @ BOS 4 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 TOR @ BOS 3 - 5
Nov 8, 2025 BOS @ TOR 5 - 3
Feb 25, 2025 TOR @ BOS 5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025 BOS @ TOR 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.2% more
Boston: 28.1 vs Toronto: 21.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.3% more
Boston: 15.9 vs Toronto: 13.4
Power Play % (L5) +7.4%
Boston: 14.5% vs Toronto: 7.1%
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.4% more
Toronto: 33.6 vs Boston: 27.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 2.5 3
BOS Score 2.7 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.9 / 13.4 19.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 50.6 / 54.5 39.7 / 60.3
Hits 28.1 / 21.9 20.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 14.5 / 7.1 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.4 / 33.6 34.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 5.6 6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
TOR
BOS
TOR
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 1 hour, 17 minutes ago
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 59 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 1 minute ago
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…
tennessean 12 hours, 58 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago