MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-1 | Road
122
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
0-1 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
50%
RAPTORS
50%
BUCKS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
30%
Under 0
70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
MIL By 1-7 points
21.6%
MIL By 8-14 points
10.7%
TOR By 1-7 points
27.2%
TOR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
104
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
107
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Loss
Proj Total: 211.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.7% more
Toronto: 10.4
vs
Milwaukee: 8.0
Turnovers (L5)
+19.4% more
Toronto: 16.4
vs
Milwaukee: 13.7
Rebounding (L5)
+17.9% more
Toronto: 50.7
vs
Milwaukee: 43.0
Assists (L5)
+14.5% more
Toronto: 30.8
vs
Milwaukee: 26.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
104.0
122
TOR Score
107.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 41.2
40.7 / 35.0
Assists
30.8 / 26.9
25.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 48.6
49.4 / 52.2
Free Throw %
82.3 / 74.6
65.6 / 56.0
Rebounding
50.7 / 43.0
41.0 / 51.0
Steals
10.4 / 8.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 13.7
16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
MIL
TOR
MIL
ML
55%
57-47
64%
61-35
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
ATS
61%
62-40-2
68%
65-31
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
62-42
55%
53-43
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
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