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MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

1-1  |  Road

120
FINAL
Thu, Oct 16 • 8:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

1-0  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
50%
📊
BULLS
50%
TIMBERWOLVES --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

53.9%

Bulls Cover

46.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIN By 8-14 points

16.9%

CHI By 1-7 points

24.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

13.8%

AI Model Projected Score
114.43
MINNESOTA
113.46
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
MINNESOTA
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 CHI @ MIN 120 - 115
Dec 29, 2025 MIN @ CHI 136 - 101
Oct 16, 2025 MIN @ CHI 120 - 126
Feb 5, 2025 CHI @ MIN 108 - 127
Nov 7, 2024 MIN @ CHI 135 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +12.9% more
Minnesota: 8.1 vs Chicago: 7.1
Turnovers (L5) +12.8% more
Minnesota: 19.5 vs Chicago: 17.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Minnesota: 42.6% vs Chicago: 31.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.2%
Minnesota: 79.9% vs Chicago: 74.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 114.4 120
CHI Score 113.5 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 42.6 25.6 / 41.9
Assists 29.7 / 24.1 31.0 / 31.0
Blocks 5.4 / 5.3 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 44.6 46.5 / 49.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 79.9 76.7 / 50.0
Rebounding 46.9 / 45.9 52.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.1 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 19.5 16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIN
CHI
MIN
ML
56% 54-42
54% 63-53
57% 46-35
54% 50-43
ATS
65% 62-33-1
58% 67-49
57% 46-35
54% 50-43
TTL
58% 56-40
63% 72-43-1
100% 81-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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