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LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

1-1  |  Road

132
FINAL
Fri, Dec 6 • 7:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

HAWKSATL

0-1  |  Home

134
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
52%
📊
HAWKS
48%
LAKERS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 HawksATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

61.0%

Hawks Cover

39.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

27.2%

LAL By 8-14 points

19.8%

ATL By 1-7 points

21.9%

ATL By 8-14 points

11.0%

AI Model Projected Score
110.79
LOS ANGELES
107.99
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
LOS ANGELES
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 218.8
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2026 ATL @ LAL 116 - 141
Nov 8, 2025 LAL @ ATL 102 - 122
Jan 3, 2025 ATL @ LAL 102 - 119
Dec 6, 2024 LAL @ ATL 132 - 134
Mar 18, 2024 ATL @ LAL 105 - 136
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +51.4% more
Atlanta: 11.8 vs Los Angeles: 7.8
Rebounding (L5) +29.2% more
Atlanta: 51.1 vs Los Angeles: 39.6
Turnovers (L5) +21.6% more
Atlanta: 16.9 vs Los Angeles: 13.9
Assists (L5) +20.1% more
Atlanta: 30.3 vs Los Angeles: 25.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 110.8 132
ATL Score 108.0 134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 24.9 42.5 / 45.7
Assists 30.3 / 25.2 40.0 / 33.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.8 5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 43.7 50.0 / 51.5
Free Throw % 84.2 / 76.1 77.3 / 87.5
Rebounding 51.1 / 39.6 48.0 / 40.0
Steals 11.8 / 7.8 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 13.9 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
ATL
48-40-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
ATL
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAL
ATL
LAL
ML
50% 52-52
61% 68-43
55% 48-40
54% 49-42
ATS
53% 55-48-1
61% 67-43-1
55% 48-40
54% 49-42
TTL
53% 55-48-1
61% 66-43-2
100% 88-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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