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DETROIT

PISTONSDET

1-0  |  Road

120
FINAL
Wed, Nov 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

1-1  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
50%
📊
BUCKS
50%
PISTONS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Detroit)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

61.8%

Bucks Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-7 points

27.2%

DET By 8-14 points

20.1%

MIL By 1-7 points

21.6%

MIL By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
108.84
DETROIT
105.84
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
DETROIT
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 214.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 MIL @ DET 111 - 137
Dec 6, 2025 MIL @ DET 112 - 124
Dec 3, 2025 DET @ MIL 109 - 113
Nov 22, 2025 DET @ MIL 129 - 116
Oct 9, 2025 DET @ MIL 111 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Detroit: 17.9 vs Milwaukee: 14.2
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Detroit: 27.2 vs Milwaukee: 22.2
Rebounding (L5) +11.8% more
Detroit: 49.6 vs Milwaukee: 43.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
Detroit: 75.0% vs Milwaukee: 67.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 108.8 120
MIL Score 105.8 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 34.2 42.9 / 47.4
Assists 22.2 / 27.2 26.0 / 29.0
Blocks 6.8 / 5.4 9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 46.8 47.4 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.4 / 75.0 88.0 / 76.9
Rebounding 43.8 / 49.6 47.0 / 45.0
Steals 10.0 / 5.3 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 17.9 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
DET
MIL
DET
ML
64% 61-35
55% 64-53
60% 49-32
49% 47-49
ATS
68% 65-31
53% 60-54-3
60% 49-32
49% 47-49
TTL
55% 53-43
60% 70-46-1
100% 81-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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