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BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

1-0  |  Road

104
FINAL
Fri, Nov 8 • 7:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

0-0  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
50%
📊
CELTICS
50%
NETS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.3 points (Boston)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

1.3%

Celtics Cover

98.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -22.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BKN By 1-7 points

1.0%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.1%

BOS By 1-7 points

5.5%

BOS By 8-14 points

14.9%

AI Model Projected Score
105.61
BROOKLYN
127.87
BOSTON
Simulated Score
BROOKLYN
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 233.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BKN @ BOS 111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026 BOS @ BKN 130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025 BKN @ BOS 113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025 BOS @ BKN 113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025 BKN @ BOS 96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.3% more
Boston: 4.6 vs Brooklyn: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +25.2% more
Boston: 46.1 vs Brooklyn: 36.8
Free Throw % (L5) +5.0%
Boston: 79.9% vs Brooklyn: 74.9%
Assists (L5) +15.1% more
Brooklyn: 27.7 vs Boston: 23.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 105.6 104
BOS Score 127.9 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 33.8 26.4 / 26.3
Assists 23.5 / 27.7 23.0 / 24.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.0 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 47.6 43.3 / 41.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 74.9 84.2 / 80.0
Rebounding 46.1 / 36.8 39.0 / 51.0
Steals 8.5 / 8.3 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 14.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BKN
BOS
BKN
ML
57% 61-46
53% 50-45
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
ATS
59% 61-43-3
52% 48-44-3
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
TTL
56% 60-47
57% 54-41
100% 88-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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