MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-1 | Road
102
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-0 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
50%
NETS
50%
BUCKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
18.7%
BKN By 1-7 points
22.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
98.5
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
96.43
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 194.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.4% more
Milwaukee: 5.4
vs
Brooklyn: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
Milwaukee: 44.8
vs
Brooklyn: 40.3
Assists (L5)
+8.1% more
Milwaukee: 25.5
vs
Brooklyn: 23.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Milwaukee: 47.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
98.5
102
BKN Score
96.4
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 36.5
35.6 / 30.3
Assists
23.4 / 25.5
23.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 47.0
42.9 / 44.6
Free Throw %
77.8 / 69.6
91.3 / 83.9
Rebounding
40.3 / 44.8
47.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.9
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
18.0 / 15.2
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIL
BKN
MIL
ML
53%
50-45
64%
61-35
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
65-31
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
54-41
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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