CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
1-0 | Road
133
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-1 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
50%
BUCKS
50%
BULLS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
25.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
15.4%
MIL By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
98.35
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
98.31
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 196.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
Chicago: 7.8
vs
Milwaukee: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
Chicago: 50.0
vs
Milwaukee: 43.6
Turnovers (L5)
+12.7% more
Chicago: 17.5
vs
Milwaukee: 15.3
Assists (L5)
+8.1% more
Chicago: 28.6
vs
Milwaukee: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
98.4
133
MIL Score
98.3
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 33.8
32.5 / 44.7
Assists
26.3 / 28.6
24.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.6 / 4.5
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 46.8
49.5 / 47.9
Free Throw %
70.4 / 72.4
68.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 50.0
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.8
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 17.5
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHI
MIL
CHI
ML
64%
61-35
56%
54-42
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
62-33-1
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
53-43
58%
56-40
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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