AI Model Win Probability
NETS
50%
MAGIC
50%
NETS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
BKN By 1-7 points
16.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.2%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
99.18
BROOKLYN
Orlando
105.76
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Orlando
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 204.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
BKN @ ORL
98 - 118
Jan 7, 2026
ORL @ BKN
104 - 103
Nov 14, 2025
BKN @ ORL
98 - 105
Dec 29, 2024
BKN @ ORL
101 - 102
Dec 1, 2024
ORL @ BKN
100 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Orlando: 6.6
vs
Brooklyn: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.8% more
Orlando: 49.5
vs
Brooklyn: 42.0
Steals (L5)
+8.6% more
Orlando: 9.0
vs
Brooklyn: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
99.2
101
ORL Score
105.8
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 33.9
50.0 / 37.8
Assists
25.4 / 24.2
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
6.6 / 5.4
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 42.6
52.0 / 42.2
Free Throw %
76.3 / 76.3
69.7 / 81.0
Rebounding
49.5 / 42.0
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.0 / 8.3
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 17.4
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
BKN
ORL
BKN
ML
61%
65-42
53%
50-45
56%
51-40
59%
48-34
ATS
64%
68-38-1
52%
48-44-3
56%
51-40
59%
48-34
TTL
57%
61-46
57%
54-41
100%
91-0
100%
82-0