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VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

39-26-17  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Jun 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

53-22-7  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
25%
📊
HURRICANES
75%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

2.3%

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

VGK By 1 goal

0.9%

VGK By 2-3 goals

0.3%

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VEGAS
5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 CAR @ VGK 3 - 0
Jun 11, 2026 VGK @ CAR 2 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 CAR @ VGK 5 - 3
Jun 6, 2026 CAR @ VGK 4 - 5
Jun 4, 2026 VGK @ CAR 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.3% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Vegas: 26.9
Takeaways (L5) +11.0% more
Carolina: 5.8 vs Vegas: 5.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.7% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Carolina: 10.9
Hits (L5) +11.5% more
Vegas: 40.6 vs Carolina: 35.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 1.0 2
CAR Score 5.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
VGK
CAR
VGK
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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