HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
30-37 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
25-41 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Abreu
#52 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Aldegheri
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | None-None | 6.85 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Sam Aldegheri | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.85
ERA
Ldr 2.25
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
55%
ANGELS
45%
ASTROS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
HOU By 1-2 runs
13.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
7.8%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
LAA @ HOU
18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026
LAA @ HOU
2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026
LAA @ HOU
3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026
HOU @ LAA
7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026
HOU @ LAA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.04
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.234
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.310
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.369
.582
OPS
▲
.679
4
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+3750.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Errors (L5)
+49.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0
vs
Houston: 0.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+34.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.0
vs
Houston: 3.0
Hits (L5)
+17.9% more
Los Angeles: 9.4
vs
Houston: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
4.0
5
LAA Score
6.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.5
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.4 / 8.0
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 9.6
13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
15.1 / 13.5
12.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.0 / 4.2
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
HOU
LAA
HOU
ML
59%
96-66
50%
81-82
55%
89-73
47%
77-87
ATS
60%
97-65
56%
91-72
51%
82-80
55%
90-74
TTL
53%
83-74-5
45%
70-84-9
52%
82-75-5
45%
69-86-9
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