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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

53-22-7  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Jun 9 • 8:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

39-26-17  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
75%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
25%
HURRICANES --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

Golden Knights Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

VGK By 1 goal

0.9%

VGK By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CAROLINA
1
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 CAR @ VGK 3 - 0
Jun 11, 2026 VGK @ CAR 2 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 CAR @ VGK 5 - 3
Jun 6, 2026 CAR @ VGK 4 - 5
Jun 4, 2026 VGK @ CAR 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.0% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Vegas: 26.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.7% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Carolina: 10.9
Takeaways (L5) +22.1% more
Vegas: 6.3 vs Carolina: 5.2
Hits (L5) +13.5% more
Vegas: 41.9 vs Carolina: 36.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 5.0 5
VGK Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CAR
VGK
CAR
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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