SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
33-30 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
25-38 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.20 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 1.88 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.20
ERA
Ldr 1.88
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
65%
TIGERS
35%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+76.8% more
Detroit: 2.7
vs
Seattle: 1.6
Total Bases (L5)
+26.7% more
Detroit: 19.5
vs
Seattle: 15.4
Hits (L5)
+24.2% more
Detroit: 10.2
vs
Seattle: 8.2
Home Runs (L5)
+9.7% more
Detroit: 2.3
vs
Seattle: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.0
3
DET Score
6.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.2 / 8.2
12.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 2.1
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 10.0
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
19.5 / 15.4
19.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.7 / 1.6
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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