COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
55-16-11 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
39-26-17 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
55%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
45%
AVALANCHE
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1
COLORADO
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+47.6% more
Vegas: 14.5
vs
Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5)
+28.6% more
Vegas: 31.9
vs
Colorado: 24.8
Power Play % (L5)
+22.1%
Vegas: 22.6%
vs
Colorado: 0.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.8% more
Vegas: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
1.0
1
VGK Score
2.0
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
COL
VGK
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points