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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

24-25  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, May 22 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

17-34  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Cal Quantrill
STARTING PITCHER

Cal Quantrill

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
Mitch Farris
STARTING PITCHER

Mitch Farris

#70 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cal Quantrill None-None 2.79 -- 3.0 --
Mitch Farris None-None 3.50 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.79 Ldr ERA 3.50
-- WHIP --
3.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
RANGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

TEX By 1-2 runs

16.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TEXAS
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713 ▲
OPS
.679
183 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +98.2% more
Los Angeles: 5.4 vs Texas: 2.7
Errors (L5) +67.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Texas: 0.3
Hits (L5) +48.0% more
Texas: 11.2 vs Los Angeles: 5.8
Total Bases (L5) +36.3% more
Texas: 17.7 vs Los Angeles: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 3.0 6
LAA Score 4.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.8 / 11.2 13.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.3 4.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 8.7 6.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 11.3 / 17.7 26.0 / 23.0
Walks 5.4 / 2.7 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59% 96-66
53% 86-76
55% 89-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 92-70
51% 82-80
61% 98-63
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 78-70-14
52% 82-75-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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