SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
24-27 | Road
2
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
20-30 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Lange
#56 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 4.58 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Alex Lange | None-None | 4.88 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.58 Ldr
ERA
4.88
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
ROYALS
0%
MARINERS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
SEA By 1-2 runs
10.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
5.4%
KC By 1-2 runs
18.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Royals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 24, 2026
SEA @ KC
6 - 8
May 23, 2026
SEA @ KC
0 - 5
May 22, 2026
SEA @ KC
2 - 0
May 3, 2026
KC @ SEA
4 - 1
May 2, 2026
KC @ SEA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.718
182
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+32.5% more
Kansas City: 7.3
vs
Seattle: 5.5
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Kansas City: 0.7
vs
Seattle: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.9% more
Kansas City: 4.3
vs
Seattle: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+2.5%
Kansas City: 71.8%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.0
2
KC Score
5.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.3 / 5.5
4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 10.9
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.7 / 10.9
4.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.5
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
SEA
KC
SEA
ML
55%
89-72
50%
81-81
56%
90-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
60%
98-64
58%
93-67
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
90-64-7
56%
85-67-10
54%
83-70-7
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…