Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Brewers LAD @ MIL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

31-19  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

29-18  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
@
Chad Patrick
STARTING PITCHER

Chad Patrick

#39 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Justin Wrobleski None-None 3.07 -- 5.0 4
Chad Patrick None-None 2.63 -- 1.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.07 ERA Ldr 2.63
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
BREWERS
0%
DODGERS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

Brewers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026 MIL @ LAD 5 - 4
May 24, 2026 LAD @ MIL 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.743
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +41.8% more
Milwaukee: 11.4 vs Los Angeles: 8.1
Hits (L5) +17.1% more
Milwaukee: 9.5 vs Los Angeles: 8.2
Runs per Game (Season) +4.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.9
On-Base Pct (Season) +0.3%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Los Angeles: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.0 1
MIL Score 5.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.5 / 8.2 9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 11.4 / 8.1 9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 14.0 / 14.9 13.0 / 3.0
Walks 2.2 / 2.5 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
LAD
MIL
LAD
ML
62% 101-61
56% 92-73
52% 84-78
48% 79-87
ATS
58% 94-68
59% 98-67
48% 78-84
43% 72-94
TTL
40% 62-92-8
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-77-8
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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