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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

24-24  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, May 20 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

17-32  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 3.00 -- 1.0 1
Sam Bachman None-None 2.63 -- 1.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 ERA Ldr 2.63
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.2
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

22.7%

Angels Cover

77.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATH By 1-2 runs

10.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

5.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
ATHLETICS
7
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
ATHLETICS
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +86.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.7 vs Athletics: 2.5
Strikeouts (L5) +18.5% more
Los Angeles: 8.2 vs Athletics: 6.9
Errors (L5) +54.9% more
Athletics: 1.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Hits (L5) +35.4% more
Athletics: 9.8 vs Los Angeles: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 4.0 6
LAA Score 7.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 1.1 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.3 / 9.8 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.0 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 6.9 11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 15.1 18.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.7 / 2.5 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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